

072 

FNUS54 KMRX 142029

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY 

APPROACH THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS 

TO SPREAD MORE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH 

WEDNESDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT AS RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF 

THE AREA...BUT QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  33-38 (-16)  16-21        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  44-49 (-4)   84-89        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    NW  7 G15    NW  7 G16    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  31-36 (-19)  14-19        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  47-52 (-9)   82-87        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    NW  8 G17    NW  9 G20    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.18         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 8 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-152130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  28-33 (-20)  13-18        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   41-46 (-9)   82-87        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G25    NW  8 G15    NW  8 G16    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.14         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 29. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 4 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-152130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-13)  32-37 (-19)  17-22        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   41-46 (-7)   77-82        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    NW  8 G16    NW  7 G16    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-152130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-12)  31-36 (-19)  17-22        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  42-47 (-5)   80-85        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  9 G17    NW  8 G17    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 7 TO 14. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-10)  34-39 (-18)  16-21        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  42-47 (-10)  78-83        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  7        NW  6        SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.10         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  35-40 (-17)  17-22        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-19)  35-40 (-12)  75-80        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    NW  7        NW  6        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 17. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

329 PM EST TUE JAN 14 2014 /229 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2014/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  36-41 (-18)  18-23        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-20)  31-36 (-12)  70-75        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    NW  8 G16    NW  7 G16    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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