

759 

FNUS54 KMRX 140831

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL TAPER OFF AFTER DAYBREAK TODAY. 

HOWEVER...THE BREAK IN WET WEATHER WILL BE SHORT-LIVED...AS ANOTHER 

FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT QUICKLY APPROACH 

THIS EVENING. THIS NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO SPREAD MORE 

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS 

PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT AS RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT 

QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE 

POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN 

AREAS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   27-32 (-10)  30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-15)  80-85 (-5)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     SW  8 G16    NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 18         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

11 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   25-30 (-11)  29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-13)  90-95 (+1)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G18                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     SW  7 G17    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 21         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

10 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   23-28 (-13)  28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-20)  91-96 (+5)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     SW 10 G25    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 17         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

6 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 19 TO 29. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   26-31 (-13)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-26)  87-92 (+4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G15                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     SW  8 G20    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 10 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   27-32 (-12)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-24)  86-91 (+4)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G17                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     SW  5        NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   27-32 (-9)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-19)  84-89 (-7)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     SW  6        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 16         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 12 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   27-32 (-10)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-27)  81-86 (-9)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  8 G16    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 16         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

331 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014 /231 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   28-33 (-11)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-35)  79-84 (-13)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  7 G15    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 16         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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