

391 

FNUS54 KMRX 131529

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO OUR EAST AS THE NEXT 

WEATHER SYSTEM APPROACHES SLOWLY FROM THE WEST...BRINGING 

WIDESPREAD RAINS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WESTERN ZONES AND TONIGHT 

IN THE EASTERN ZONES.  COLDER AIR INVADES THE REGION 

TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH A CHANCE FOR A LIGHT SNOW 

ACCUMULATION IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   35-40 (+4)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   88-93 (0)    45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G23     S  7 G19     SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.15         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 21         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 16.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   33-38 (+6)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   95-100 (+5)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  8 G21     W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.13         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 20         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 14 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-141630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   33-38 (+5)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-7)   92-97 (+11)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G30                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G25     S 10 G27     SW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.13         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 15         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-141630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   35-40 (+7)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   88-93 (-5)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     S  9 G22     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 16         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-141630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   35-40 (+10)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   90-95 (-5)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S  7 G18     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   34-39 (+8)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    95-100 (-1)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G16     S  5         SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 18         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   34-39 (+1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   90-95 (+3)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G22                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SW  8 G20    SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.15         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     W 17         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 22.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1029 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014 /929 AM CST MON JAN 13 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   34-39 (0)    51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+14)  93-98 (+4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S  8 G18     SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.13         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     W 18         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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