

130 

FNUS54 KMRX 122025

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO OUR EAST AS THE NEXT 

SYSTEM APPROACHES ON MONDAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. COLDER 

AIR INVADES THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH A CHANCE 

FOR A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THE HIGHEST TERRAIN. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   48-53 (+2)   33-38        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   51-56 (+1)   95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.11         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 23.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   46-51 (+2)   32-37        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   52-57 (+9)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.10         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 31         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

15 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    45-50 (-3)   32-37        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-6)   42-47 (0)    95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  9 G18    SW  7 G16    SW  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.13         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    48-53 (-2)   33-38        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  57-62 (+12)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  8 G18     S  6         SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    4            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   48-53 (-3)   33-38        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (+14)  95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    4            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. COLDER. LOWS AROUND

14. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   49-54 (0)    32-37        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   58-63 (+10)  95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 21.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (0)    47-52 (-3)   32-37        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   62-67 (+15)  95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G17     SW  5        SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.28         0.14         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     W 25         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014 /225 PM CST SUN JAN 12 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (0)    48-53 (-5)   33-38        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  62-67 (+17)  95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  8 G18     SW  6        SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    7            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.31         0.13         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     W 24         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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