

975 

FNUS54 KMRX 120858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY AND MILD WEATHER TODAY AND 

TONIGHT. HOWEVER...RAIN QUICKLY RETURNS ON MONDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER 

COLD FRONT. COLDER AIR INVADES THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO 

WEDNESDAY...WITH A CHANCE FOR A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THE 

HIGHEST TERRAIN. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-7)   30-35 (-1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-28)  80-85 (-5)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  6         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW 37        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   29-34 (-1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-31)  80-85 (+4)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G24                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      SW 29        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-131000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   30-35 (+1)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-28)  77-82 (+3)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  SW  9 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     S  7 G17     SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SW 36        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-131000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-7)   31-36 (+1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-17)  95-100 (+18) 41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  6 G16     S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 32        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-131000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   29-34 (0)    51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-21)  95-100 (+21) 38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   28-33 (-3)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-25)  90-95 (+10)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   33-38 (+1)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-17)  88-93 (+8)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  6 G15     S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 38        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

358 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014 /258 AM CST SUN JAN 12 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   33-38 (+1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  95-100 (+13) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  6 G15     S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 36        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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