

609 

FNUS54 KMRX 112015

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

THIS AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER RETURNS BUT ONLY LASTS THROUGH SUNDAY 

NIGHT WITH RAIN DEVELOPING AGAIN ON MONDAY.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-14)  45-50 (-8)   29-34        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   39-44 (-28)  77-82        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 32        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-14)  43-48 (-8)   28-33        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-15)  38-43 (-30)  76-81        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G24                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-15)  47-52 (-4)   29-34        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-16)  24-29 (-32)  75-80        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 SW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     W  6         S  5         SW  8 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM        

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW 29        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-16)  50-55 (-7)   30-35        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  30-35 (-21)  94-99        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     SW  5        S  5         S  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 26        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-17)  51-56 (-7)   28-33        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-15)  24-29 (-27)  95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-15)  47-52 (-8)   27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  38-43 (-23)  86-91        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW 29        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-13)  50-55 (-4)   30-35        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  35-40 (-17)  86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 32        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014 /215 PM CST SAT JAN 11 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-15)  51-56 (-7)   32-37        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  34-39 (-10)  93-98        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW 30        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$















