

284 

FNUS54 KMRX 110928

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. VERY 

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS 

AND FOOTHILLS THIS MORNING...THEN DIMINISH BEHIND PASSAGE OF THE 

COLD FRONT. DRY WEATHER RETURNS BUT ONLY LASTS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

WITH RAIN DEVELOPING AGAIN ON MONDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   29-34 (-14)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-4)   85-90 (-10)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G27                  W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    W 11 G21     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 21         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   28-33 (-14)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-4)   81-86 (-10)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 18 G37                  W 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W 14 G28     W  6 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 24         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   27-32 (-16)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-29)  75-80 (-19)  20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 20 G42                 W  8 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G28     W 13 G25     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.86         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 15         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+8)   29-34 (-18)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-26)  79-84 (-16)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G33                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     W  8 G18     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.87         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+7)   29-34 (-19)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-28)  76-81 (-20)  20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   29-34 (-15)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   81-86 (-7)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G26                 W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    W  9 G18     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 18         

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   29-34 (-14)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-24)  81-86 (-12)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G29                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  8 G17     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 13         

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

428 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2014 /328 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   30-35 (-15)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-34)  82-87 (-13)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G28                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  9 G19     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 12         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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