

119 

FNUS54 KMRX 102017

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS QUICKLY DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...AHEAD OF AN 

APPROACHING COLD FRONT. VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS MAY DEVELOP OVER 

THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS TONIGHT. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   53-58 (+2)   29-34        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  57-62 (-9)   82-87        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G27                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G21    W 11 G21     W 12 G23     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.71         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   50-55 (+1)   28-33        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 59-64 (-7)   82-87        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G37                  W  7 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     W 13 G26     W 16 G34     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.78         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 40                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   50-55 (+3)   27-32        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  49-54 (-28)  76-81        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 20 G42                 W  6 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G33     W 16 G30     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.93         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 43                     W  7         

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  54-59 (+5)   29-34        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   51-56 (-26)  77-82        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 16 G33                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G25     W 13 G25     W  8 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.89         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-112130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+11)  55-60 (+4)   29-34        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   51-56 (-24)  74-79        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    W 13 G24     W  9 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.95         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  54-59 (+4)   29-34        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+5)   51-56 (-13)  80-85        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G26                 W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    W 12 G22     W 11 G21     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.84         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     SW  8        

DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   53-58 (+4)   29-34        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  48-53 (-25)  79-84        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G29                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G20     W 12 G22     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.65         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

317 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014 /217 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   56-61 (+9)   30-35        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   44-49 (-35)  80-85        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G28                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     W 13 G22     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.58         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     SW  5        

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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