

451 

FNUS54 KMRX 100928

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED AREAS OF MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS OF LIGHT FREEZING 

RAIN POSSIBLE...OVER SHELTERED VALLEYS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND

SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA EARLY. SHOWERS QUICKLY DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO 

SATURDAY...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS MAY 

DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS TONIGHT. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   39-44 (+5)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+24)  95-100 (+10) 56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G21    SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.61         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    38-43 (+5)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+36)  95-100 (+8)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S 13 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G18    S 11 G24     W 12 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.21         0.71         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 35        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    41-46 (+8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+42)  95-100 (+7)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW 15 G38    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G22     S 14 G32     W 11 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.28         0.65         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 35        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   43-48 (+8)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+36)  95-100 (+7)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    SE 10 G24    W  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.31         0.56         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 30        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   43-48 (+9)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+33)  95-100 (+8)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7 G17    W 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.35         0.66         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 32        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               71 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   40-45 (+7)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+33)  95-100 (+7)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    SW  8 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.62         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   42-47 (+8)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+29)  95-100 (+8)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G20     SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.28         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

428 AM EST FRI JAN 10 2014 /328 AM CST FRI JAN 10 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   44-49 (+8)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+31)  95-100 (+8)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     S 10 G21     W 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.42         0.43         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 28         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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