

427 

FNUS54 KMRX 091035

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PULL OUT OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY 

BUT WILL CONTINUE THE WARMING TREND ACROSS THE AREA.  AN APPROACHING 

WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL INCREASE CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  AS THE 

DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT...IT WILL GENERATE A SLIGHT CHANCE 

OF LIGHT RAIN.  OVER NORTHERN LOCATIONS...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO 

OR JUST BELOW FREEZING AND PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL BE 

POSSIBLE.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   29-34 (+11)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   90-95 (+15)  68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 22         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   28-33 (+11)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   89-94 (+11)  68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7        S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 25         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-101145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   29-34 (+12)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   90-95 (+9)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  8 G18     S  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 23        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-101145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   31-36 (+12)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   91-96 (+5)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  6        SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 20         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-101145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   31-36 (+13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   90-95 (-1)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 21         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   9 POOR       

MAX LVORI             4                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   29-34 (+13)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   93-98 (+1)   69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 18         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+7)   31-36 (+13)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   92-97 (+3)   69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 17         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

535 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014 /435 AM CST THU JAN 9 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+7)   32-37 (+11)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   90-95 (+11)  67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 17         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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