

883 

FNUS54 KMRX 081026

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE VERY COLD AIR THAT HAS BEEN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST OF TH AREA TODAY.  A 

WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF 

THE WEEK. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+20)  16-21 (+11)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-17)  71-76 (+3)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      S  9         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+20)  17-22 (+14)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-18)  70-75 (-1)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      S 13         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-091130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+17)  17-22 (+12)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-10)  73-78 (+3)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      S 12         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...BREEZY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-091130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+17)  19-24 (+13)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   77-82 (+5)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 12         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-091130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+16)  19-24 (+14)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-7)   82-87 (+12)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 12         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+20)  16-21 (+12)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-13)  77-82 (-6)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      S  8         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+20)  18-23 (+12)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  76-81 (-1)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     S  8         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

526 AM EST WED JAN 8 2014 /426 AM CST WED JAN 8 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+19)  20-25 (+12)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   71-76 (+3)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 10         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













