

495 

FNUS54 KMRX 071946

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A VERY COLD AIR MASS WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST OF THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A WARMING TREND DEVELOPING 

FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE 

NORMAL BY FRIDAY...WITH WARM TEMPERATURES LINGERING THROUGH THE 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (+13)   32-37 (+23)  15-20        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   27-32 (-20)  68-73        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      3-8 (+11)    31-36 (+22)  14-19        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   27-32 (-18)  68-73        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      S  8         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (+13)   33-38 (+20)  14-19        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   23-28 (-14)  68-73        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR FREEZING 

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      6-11 (+10)   37-42 (+20)  17-22        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+6)   19-24 (-17)  68-73        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S  8         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      5-10 (+8)    38-43 (+20)  16-21        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    17-22 (-15)  68-73        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      4-9 (+8)     34-39 (+23)  16-21        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+21)  28-33 (-14)  68-73        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT 

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      6-11 (+10)   34-39 (+21)  17-22        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+17)  27-32 (-14)  68-73        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

245 PM EST TUE JAN 7 2014 /145 PM CST TUE JAN 7 2014/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (+10)   36-41 (+20)  18-23        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   23-28 (-16)  68-73        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SE  7        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$







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