

778 

FNUS54 KMRX 061509

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO THE AREA TODAY INTO 

TONIGHT...WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND BITTERLY COLD AIR. TEMPERATURES 

ARE NOT LIKELY TO CLIMB BACK ABOVE FREEZING UNTIL WEDNESDAY 

AFTERNOON. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-37)  -4-1 (-20)   9-14         

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   95-100 (-2)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G24                  W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 13 G22     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 18         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 2 TO 9. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-30)  -5-0 (-21)   9-14         

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-7)   83-88 (-10)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G28                  W 12 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W 16 G29     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 22         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 10. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-071615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-32)  -5-0 (-21)   13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   80-85 (-7)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G25                  W  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     W 12 G23     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 15         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 10. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR

SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-071615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-32)  0-5 (-19)    17-22        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  75-80 (-21)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G23                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 11 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 12. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-071615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-31)  1-6 (-20)    19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-10)  78-83 (-15)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G23                 NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    NW 12 G21    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 12. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-32)  -1-4 (-19)   13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   81-86 (-13)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G25                  W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 12 G22     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 15         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 11. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-35)  -1-4 (-16)   14-19        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   72-77 (-24)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G25                  W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 12         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 14. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1009 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014 /909 AM CST MON JAN 6 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-33)  1-6 (-14)    16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-17)  65-70 (-30)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G26                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G25    NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     W  9         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 14. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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