

204 

FNUS54 KMRX 051958

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL 

BRING RAIN SHOWERS AHEAD OF IT...WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND BITTERLY 

COLD AIR LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SKIES WILL CLEAR MONDAY NIGHT AS 

COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO 

NEAR RECORD LOWS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH DAY TIME 

TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW FREEZING UNTIL WEDNESDAY 

AFTERNOON.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-14)  13-18 (-40)  -5-0         9-14         

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 54-59 (-4)   88-93        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     W 14 G24     W 14 G24     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 2 TO 9. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-13)  14-19 (-32)  -4-1         10-15        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 47-52 (-15)  75-80        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G25                  W 12 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     W 16 G27     W 16 G28     W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.05         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 10. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-17)  13-18 (-35)  -3-2         14-19        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   44-49 (-16)  87-92        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 W  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G31    W 14 G26     W 14 G24     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.05         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 10. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-14)  17-22 (-34)  0-5          16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  38-43 (-22)  70-75        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G18                 NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     NW 14 G25    NW 13 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 11. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-13)  19-24 (-33)  1-6          17-22        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 35-40 (-26)  69-74        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     NW 15 G25    NW 15 G25    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 6 TO 11. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-7)   16-21 (-34)  -1-4         12-17        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  45-50 (-12)  77-82        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     W 15 G24     W 14 G23     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 11. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-15)  13-18 (-37)  0-5          14-19        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+3)   39-44 (-21)  71-76        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W 13 G22     W 13 G22     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 14. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 PM EST SUN JAN 5 2014 /158 PM CST SUN JAN 5 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-17)  14-19 (-34)  2-7          15-20        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   33-38 (-34)  60-65        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G22                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    NW 13 G23    NW 13 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 14. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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