

352 

FNUS54 KMRX 050936

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING. THE 

FRONT WILL BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND BITTERLY COLD AIR SUNDAY 

NIGHT AND MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   11-16 (-16)  11-16        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+37)  95-100 (+11) 55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     S  9 G19     W 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.25         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      W 24         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

11 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 8 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 2 TO 9. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   13-18 (-14)  13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+31)  95-100 (+12) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  W 14 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SW  9 G21    W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.29         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      W 29         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

6 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

8 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 11. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-061045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   13-18 (-17)  13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+27)  88-93 (+6)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G18                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G27    SW 14 G30    W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.43         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     W 24         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

8 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

11 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 11. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-061045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   17-22 (-14)  17-22        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+28)  86-91 (0)    41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW  9 G19    NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.43         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

4 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 12. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-061045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   19-24 (-13)  19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+26)  92-97 (+9)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.40         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     NW 26        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 4 BELOW

TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 12. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   16-21 (-7)   16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+35)  95-100 (+2)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 12 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8 G19    W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.28         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 23         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 6 BELOW

TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 12. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   13-18 (-15)  13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+34)  88-93 (+1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SW 10 G20    W 12 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.38         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     W 21         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS 5 BELOW

TO 3 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 11 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 6 TO 15. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

436 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014 /336 AM CST SUN JAN 5 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   14-19 (-17)  14-19        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+34)  86-91 (+2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     W 12 G26     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.41         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 6 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 15. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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