

584 

FNUS54 KMRX 042003

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SUNDAY EVENING. THE 

FRONT WILL BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND BITTERLY COLD AIR SUNDAY 

NIGHT AND MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+15)  45-50 (+6)   12-17        13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+15)  56-61 (+30)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 10 G20     S 12 G22     W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.27         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 BELOW TO ZERO. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 8 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 2 TO 9. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+18)  45-50 (+7)   14-19        16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+24)  56-61 (+26)  95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  W 14 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S 11 G21     S 13 G24     W 15 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.28         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 31         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 6 BELOW TO

ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 9 TO 20.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 11. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-052100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+18)  46-51 (+8)   12-17        13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+24)  55-60 (+18)  95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G23                  W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     S 13 G27     SW 15 G30    W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.35         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 8 BELOW TO

1 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 12 TO 23.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 4 TO 11. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-052100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+19)  47-52 (+6)   14-19        15-20        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+28)  61-66 (+22)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  NW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G20    S 12 G22     S 13 G24     NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.32         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 12. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-052100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+21)  47-52 (+4)   16-21        17-22        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+22)  58-63 (+18)  95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G15                 NW 12 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    S 10 G17     S 11 G21     NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.29         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 28        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 12. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+16)  48-53 (+7)   15-20        16-21        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+13)  60-65 (+33)  95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     S 11 G21     W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.30         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE ZERO. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 10 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 3 TO 12. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+16)  46-51 (+6)   12-17        13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+25)  61-66 (+31)  95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G17                 W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 12 G23     SW 12 G23    W 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.35         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 25         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 13 TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 6 TO 15. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014 /203 PM CST SAT JAN 4 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+17)  46-51 (+4)   12-17        13-18        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+30)  60-65 (+28)  95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  NW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 12 G22     SW 13 G23    NW 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.30         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 26        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS 17 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 15. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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