

253 

FNUS54 KMRX 040842

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR WEATHER TODAY. A STRONG 

COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 

EVENING...WITH VERY COLD AIR PUSHING IN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+19)  25-30 (+12)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-17)  95-100 (+22) 62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 32        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS 4 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

8 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 13 BELOW TO

1 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 9 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+17)  26-31 (+15)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  91-96 (+27)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  7 G15     S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS 10 TO 20. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 12 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 6 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

10 TO 21. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+15)  28-33 (+15)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-7)   91-96 (+28)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G17    S  7 G19     SW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 39        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS 7 TO 17. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 9 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 8 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

13 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+13)  27-32 (+14)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   95-100 (+32) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW 37        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS 11 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 1 ABOVE

ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+14)  25-30 (+13)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-5)   95-100 (+30) 64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS 14 TO 20. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 4 BELOW TO

1 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+17)  24-29 (+13)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   95-100 (+19) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 11 TO 20. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

13 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 6 BELOW TO

2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 11 TO 21. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+15)  27-32 (+14)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   94-99 (+26)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW 38        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

10 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE

ZERO. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 14 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

342 AM EST SAT JAN 4 2014 /242 AM CST SAT JAN 4 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+13)  29-34 (+15)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    95-100 (+32) 63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 39         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS 11 TO 17. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 11 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 2 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE

ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 18 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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