

268 

FNUS54 KMRX 032045

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...AND WILL 

CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY 

CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER...A STRONG COLD 

FRONT...PRODUCING WINTRY PRECIPITATION...IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO 

THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH VERY COLD AIR PUSHING 

IN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (+2)   37-42 (+17)  25-30        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-18)  27-32 (-20)  67-72        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 4 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 4 TO 19.

WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 12 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 9 TO 19. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+4)   35-40 (+15)  24-29        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-20)  26-31 (-14)  71-76        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  7 G15     SW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 9 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 5 BELOW TO

2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 11 TO 22. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (+5)   37-42 (+14)  26-31        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-12)  22-27 (-14)  68-73        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     S  8 G19     SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 31        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 6 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 6 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 7 BELOW TO

2 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 13 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+2)   40-45 (+12)  28-33        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   23-28 (-8)   81-86        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     SE  6        SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      SW 28        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 18.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 10 TO 21.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 3 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-1)   41-46 (+12)  28-33        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   22-27 (-8)   83-88        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     SE  5        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 26        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS 13 TO 19.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 13 TO 20.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 3 BELOW TO 2 ABOVE ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (0)    38-43 (+14)  25-30        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   28-33 (-11)  70-75        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 22        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 19. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 10 TO 19.

WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 3 ABOVE ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 11 TO 22. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+2)   40-45 (+15)  27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   26-31 (-10)  72-77        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      SW 31        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 9 TO 20.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 4 BELOW TO 3 ABOVE

ZERO. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 15 TO 28. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

345 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014 /245 PM CST FRI JAN 3 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+2)   40-45 (+12)  28-33        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-13)  24-29 (-7)   77-82        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9         S  5         SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      SW 32        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO 16. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

12 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 1 BELOW TO 6 ABOVE

ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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