

179 

FNUS54 KMRX 030906

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY AND WILL CONTROL 

OUR WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY.  A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO 

MOVE INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY...WITH VERY COLD AIR PUSHING IN SUNDAY 

NIGHT AND MONDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-19)  11-16 (+3)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-20)  78-83 (-18)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 21. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. HIGHS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS 4 TO 17. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-19)  13-18 (+6)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-27)  71-76 (-19)  20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G24                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS 14 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 6. HIGHS 7 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-041015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-16)  14-19 (+6)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-30)  68-73 (-12)  11-16        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G18                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS 11 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 7. HIGHS 7 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-041015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-14)  15-20 (+3)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-30)  75-80 (-1)   14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  9 G16                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      S 20         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. HIGHS 16 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 13 TO 23. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-041015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  14-19 (+1)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-31)  80-85 (+5)   13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      S 17         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. HIGHS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 15 TO 22. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-16)  11-16 (0)    38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-33)  79-84 (-5)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. HIGHS 15 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS 7 TO 18. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-15)  14-19 (+2)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-29)  72-77 (-9)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 20.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. HIGHS 15 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 12 TO 22.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

406 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014 /306 AM CST FRI JAN 3 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-15)  16-21 (+3)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-32)  71-76 (-11)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G18                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S 22         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 14 TO 19. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













