

180 

FNUS54 KMRX 022038

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN 

CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WILL CHANGE TO SNOW DURING THE LATE 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN CONTINUE OVER MOST AREAS OVERNIGHT. 

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN AREAS AND MOUNTAINS 

TONIGHT WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND 

CENTRAL VALLEY.  MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS 

CAN ALSO BE ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-19)   19-24 (-18)  11-16        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  43-48 (-20)  74-79        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 26                      SW 22        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 20.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS 7 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 9 TO 19. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-18)   17-22 (-20)  11-16        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 42-47 (-22)  71-76        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      S  8 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 31                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 20. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS 12 TO 24. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 9. HIGHS 10 TO 21. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-18)   19-24 (-18)  10-15        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+5)   34-39 (-23)  79-84        10-15        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G22                  S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G28    NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  9 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 26                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 21. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS 13 TO 26. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 8. HIGHS 10 TO 24. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-16)  25-30 (-15)  12-17        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-12)  30-35 (-22)  79-84        12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G22                  SE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    N  7         LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      S 21         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS

16 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS 19 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 16 TO 26.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-12)  26-31 (-13)  11-16        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-19)  26-31 (-24)  88-93        8-13         

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G22                  SE  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    N  6         LGT/VAR      S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            3 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 30                      S 18         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 23.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 18 TO 26. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-15)  21-26 (-16)  11-16        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   39-44 (-32)  83-88        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 22. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS 12 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 11 TO 21.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-17)  23-28 (-15)  14-19        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   36-41 (-26)  76-81        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G17                  S  6 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            3 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      SW 23        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 21.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS 16 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 14 TO 25. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

338 PM EST THU JAN 2 2014 /238 PM CST THU JAN 2 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-20)  27-32 (-15)  16-21        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   28-33 (-28)  70-75        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G17                  S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    NE  6        LGT/VAR      S 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      S 25         

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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