

822 

FNUS54 KMRX 020807

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN 

CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WILL CHANGE TO SNOW DURING THE LATE 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN CONTINUE OVER MOST AREAS OVERNIGHT. 



SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN AREAS AND MOUNTAINS 

TONIGHT WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND 

CENTRAL VALLEY.  MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS 

CAN ALSO BE ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   8-13 (-20)   19-24        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+19)  95-100 (+20) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G22    NW 15 G28    N  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.15         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      N 23         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 17. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND

5. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 15 TO 23. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   10-15 (-17)  17-22        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  95-100 (+15) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 15 G30    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G25    NW 19 G34    N  8 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.21         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      N 28         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND

5. HIGHS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 14 TO 24. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   11-16 (-17)  22-27        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   95-100 (+19) 25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  N 12 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     NW 16 G27    NE  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.17         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      N 23         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND

5. HIGHS 16 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS 12 TO 27.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   14-19 (-16)  28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+18)  91-96 (+7)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 N 12 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     NW 17 G28    NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      N 24         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 18. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 8. HIGHS 19 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS 17 TO 27.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   15-20 (-12)  30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+25)  95-100 (+4)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N 12 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G26     NW 15 G28    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      N 25         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             5                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS 18 TO 26. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   11-16 (-16)  21-26        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+23)  95-100 (+6)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G25     NW 17 G30    NE  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      N 18         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND

7. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS 16 TO 25.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   12-17 (-18)  24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+19)  95-100 (+13) 33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G20                 N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G27     NW 17 G29    NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      N 16         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 19. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS 18 TO 27. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

307 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014 /207 AM CST THU JAN 2 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   14-19 (-19)  29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+12)  87-92 (+3)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G24                  N  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G29    NW 18 G30    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      N 17         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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