

217 

FNUS54 KMRX 012000

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN 

APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT. 

THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON THURSDAY.  RAIN WILL DEVELOP AREA-WIDE 

THURSDAY MORNING...THEN CHANGE TO SNOW DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND 

EVENING. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND

FRIDAY MORNING...WITH VERY LOW WIND CHILLS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+9)   38-43 (-9)   11-16        21-26        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+12)  61-66 (+28)  95-100       36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.15         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      N 21         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 17. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 11.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS 18 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+9)   40-45 (-4)   13-18        20-25        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   57-62 (+15)  86-91        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW 15 G33    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G23     NW 14 G28    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            7                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.22         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS 18 TO 29.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+11)  40-45 (-2)   13-18        24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   65-70 (+24)  84-89        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 N 12 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W 13 G23     NW 13 G26    N  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.18         0.17         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      N 20         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+11)  43-48 (-3)   16-21        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   59-64 (+21)  75-80        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  N 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     NW 12 G23    N  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.18         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      N 23         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 18. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16.

HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+9)   43-48 (-2)   17-22        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+5)   64-69 (+27)  79-84        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  N 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     NW 14 G24    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.19         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      N 23         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+8)   40-45 (-7)   15-20        24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 62-67 (+25)  82-87        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+11)  40-45 (-6)   15-20        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+12)  65-70 (+27)  83-88        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.23         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 19. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EST WED JAN 1 2014 /200 PM CST WED JAN 1 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+10)  42-47 (-4)   16-21        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+19)  56-61 (+16)  71-76        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 N 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G23    NW 13 G24    NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.19         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     N 25         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$

















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