

293 

FNUS54 KMRX 010740

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY.  A  

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 

QUICKLY ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON 

THURSDAY.  RAIN WILL DEVELOP AREA-WIDE THURSDAY MORNING...THEN MIX 

WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

 

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER 

ELEVATIONS FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  MUCH COLDER 

TEMPERATURES CAN ALSO BE ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH 

FRIDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  29-34 (+8)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-12)  75-80 (+9)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 5 TO 19.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 18 TO 26. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH

DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 11.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS 17 TO 25. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   29-34 (+9)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   82-87 (+2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.27         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 16 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 16. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 11.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS 16 TO 27. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   31-36 (+12)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   69-74 (-14)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W 15 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 10 TO 21. NORTHWEST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 18. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 12.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS 14 TO 28.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   33-38 (+12)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   81-86 (-3)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         W 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+10)  32-37 (+11)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   82-87 (-4)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   28-33 (+8)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   86-91 (+10)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 4            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTHWEST

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 19 TO 29. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS 18 TO 27. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   32-37 (+11)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   75-80 (+1)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.27         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014 /140 AM CST WED JAN 1 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+7)   34-39 (+11)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   81-86 (+9)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         W 14 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 11 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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