

158 

FNUS54 KMRX 311953

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONLY SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM 

EMERGING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE NEXT THIRTY SIX HOURS.

THEREFORE...WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY BUT MOISTURE WILL BE STREAMING INTO

THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

BUILDS EAST INTO THE REGION. RAIN SHOULD TRANSITION TO SNOW ACROSS

MOST OF THE REGION BY THURSDAY NIGHT AS MUCH COLDER AIR SPREADS IN 

THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   47-52 (+11)  29-34        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-21)  24-29 (-13)  77-82        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                              6            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 5 TO 17.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE

20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-3)   45-50 (+10)  28-33        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   30-35 (-8)   83-88        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      W  7 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              6            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 31         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 19.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-012100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-4)   46-51 (+11)  31-36        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   28-33 (-10)  81-86        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        W  8 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO 22.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-012100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-4)   50-55 (+12)  34-39        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   28-33 (-9)   88-93        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         W  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

13 TO 22. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-012100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-3)   50-55 (+12)  33-38        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   27-32 (-8)   92-97        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      W 25         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

16 TO 22. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-4)   48-53 (+10)  28-33        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   28-33 (-8)   88-93        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                              6            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-3)   49-54 (+10)  31-36        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-12)  26-31 (-10)  82-87        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 25         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

253 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013 /153 PM CST TUE DEC 31 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   50-55 (+10)  33-38        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-12)  26-31 (-10)  86-91        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         NW 10 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      W 25         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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