

573 

FNUS54 KMRX 310817

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BRING ONLY A SLIGHT DECREASE IN 

TEMPERATURES AND DECREASING CLOUDINESS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 

THEN QUICKLY SWING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON THURSDAY... 

BRINGING WINTRY PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY AND COLDER THAN NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES BY FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   20-25 (-2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-30)  72-77 (-21)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY AND MUCH COLDER. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 8 TO 

13. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS 20 TO 25. EAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. NOT 

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   20-25 (-2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-27)  73-78 (-20)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G24                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. NOT 

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   20-25 (-3)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-27)  71-76 (-20)  13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  S  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 

10 TO 20. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. NOT 

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   23-28 (-2)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-19)  73-78 (-16)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE TEENS. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   22-27 (-2)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-21)  75-80 (-19)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 

22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. 

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   21-26 (-2)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-27)  73-78 (-16)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 

IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS 

NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   22-27 (-2)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-24)  72-77 (-17)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 

23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. NOT 

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013 /500 AM CST TUE DEC 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   24-29 (-2)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-15)  74-79 (-13)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. NOT 

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND 

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$







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