

288 

FNUS54 KMRX 302002

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT 

CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF THE EAST. DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONAL 

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR 

THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING 

ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON THURSDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM WILL BRING LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION...WITH COLDER 

THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-312115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-10)  37-42 (+4)   21-26        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  31-36 (-39)  70-75        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-312115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-9)   36-41 (+2)   21-26        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  32-37 (-37)  69-74        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-312115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-7)   37-42 (+4)   24-29        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   29-34 (-39)  61-66        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-312115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-7)   41-46 (+1)   25-30        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   26-31 (-33)  70-75        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-312115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   43-48 (+2)   24-29        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   22-27 (-37)  70-75        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-312115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-10)  40-45 (+4)   22-27        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   33-38 (-33)  71-76        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-312115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-9)   40-45 (+5)   24-29        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   31-36 (-32)  68-73        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-312115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 PM EST MON DEC 30 2013 /202 PM CST MON DEC 30 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-7)   43-48 (+4)   24-29        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  28-33 (-28)  70-75        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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