

199 

FNUS54 KMRX 292004

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST UP THE MID 

ATLANTIC COAST...AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A COLD FRONT 

WILL DROP THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS INTO MONDAY MORNING. DRY WEATHER AND 

SEASONAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   32-37 (-12)  19-24        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   65-70 (-12)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   32-37 (-11)  18-23        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   71-76 (-2)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G21     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  8 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-302115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   35-40 (-7)   19-24        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (-10)  95-100       32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-302115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   38-43 (-7)   21-26        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-15)  95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-302115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   40-45 (-4)   22-27        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-18)  95-100       35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          9                         10           



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   35-40 (-11)  20-25        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   66-71 (-8)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   6 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   36-41 (-10)  21-26        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (-14)  95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EST SUN DEC 29 2013 /204 PM CST SUN DEC 29 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   38-43 (-9)   21-26        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (-14)  95-100       36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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