

573 

FNUS54 KMRX 290824

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UP ALONG THE EASTERN 

COAST TODAY...WITH RAIN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION BY TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR 

MOST OF THIS WEEK...WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SWINGING ACROSS 

THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   31-36 (-4)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+24)  89-94 (+1)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 20 TO 25. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   30-35 (-4)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+25)  90-95 (+8)   65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G17                  NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W 10 G22     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 16         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 20 TO 25. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    30-35 (-4)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+18)  92-97 (+7)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO

24. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   31-36 (-4)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   89-94 (+2)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   31-36 (-3)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+3)   88-93 (0)    44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   32-37 (-3)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+15)  85-90 (-7)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         SW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   32-37 (-4)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+13)  87-92 (-5)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 20 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EST SUN DEC 29 2013 /500 AM CST SUN DEC 29 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   32-37 (-4)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   85-90 (-8)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N 14         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN 

THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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