

641 

FNUS54 KMRX 282009

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TONIGHT FROM THE GULF 

COAST REGION...SPREADING MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. RAIN CONTINUES SUNDAY MORNING...THEN A BREAK 

FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL 

BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...MAINLY ACROSS THE 

HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+13)  43-48 (-4)   28-33        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+17)  64-69 (+23)  95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.41         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+14)  42-47 (-2)   30-35        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+19)  58-63 (+16)  88-93        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G20    W 13 G25     W 11 G25     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.43         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-292115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+12)  42-47 (0)    30-35        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+31)  63-68 (+15)  87-92        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G23    W 10 G22     W  8 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.18         0.37         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 16 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-292115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+14)  45-50 (+3)   31-36        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   63-68 (+2)   90-95        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G18    W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.95         0.29         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-292115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+16)  47-52 (+5)   32-37        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    55-60 (-8)   87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G17     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.07         0.33         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+15)  44-49 (-1)   30-35        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 69-74 (+22)  93-98        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.39         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  46-51 (+1)   28-33        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 64-69 (+13)  95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         0.27         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013 /209 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  46-51 (+2)   29-34        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 63-68 (+2)   93-98        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.88         0.18         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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