

786 

FNUS54 KMRX 280925

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. 

RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO 

TONIGHT. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WHICH WILL CAUSE 

RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE. THE RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF SUNDAY 

NIGHT BUT SMALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   34-39 (+11)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-12)  88-93 (+29)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.57         0.41         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 20         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 22. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   33-38 (+12)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-10)  92-97 (+35)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.71         0.43         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      W 25         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-291030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    35-40 (+12)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-10)  90-95 (+32)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.86         0.37         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      W 18         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-291030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   36-41 (+13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   95-100 (+24) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.87         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 14         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-291030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   35-40 (+14)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   95-100 (+19) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.95         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 17         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             7                         9            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   33-38 (+13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   93-98 (+24)  70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.71         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      W 17         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   35-40 (+11)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   89-94 (+19)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.86         0.27         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W 16         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 23. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

425 AM EST SAT DEC 28 2013 /325 AM CST SAT DEC 28 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    36-41 (+10)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   91-96 (+16)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.86         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 13         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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