

784 

FNUS54 KMRX 272013

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS...AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT 

INTO SATURDAY. HOWEVER...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF 

MEXICO...WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST...SPREADING 

RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION STARTING LATE SATURDAY 

AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY COLDER 

AIR MOVES IN ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND MAY BRING A FEW SNOW 

SHOWERS TO SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EAST 

TENNESSEE.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   52-57 (+8)   34-39        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-12)  16-21 (-15)  87-92        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.53         0.47         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 23. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+3)   48-53 (+5)   34-39        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-8)   20-25 (-12)  91-96        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.74         0.51         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 25         

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-282115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+7)   47-52 (+2)   37-42        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   17-22 (-13)  90-95        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         1.17         0.40         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-282115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+5)   50-55 (+1)   38-43        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   22-27 (-11)  95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         1.33         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-282115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+3)   51-56 (+1)   38-43        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   21-26 (-10)  95-100       61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         1.48         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+2)   51-56 (+6)   34-39        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-8)   25-30 (-6)   93-98        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.67         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   50-55 (+3)   36-41        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-10)  26-31 (-5)   89-94        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.83         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 25. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

313 PM EST FRI DEC 27 2013 /213 PM CST FRI DEC 27 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   51-56 (+2)   37-42        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-6)   27-32 (-7)   91-96        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         1.04         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













