

079 

FNUS54 KMRX 261958

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS...AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO 

SATURDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...WILL 

CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...AND MOVE NORTHEAST...SPREADING RAINFALL ACROSS 

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION STARTING LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON... 

AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-3)   44-49 (+6)   23-28        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-7)   22-27 (-21)  62-67        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      S  6         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-4)   44-49 (+6)   22-27        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   22-27 (-17)  62-67        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S  6         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-9)   46-51 (+6)   25-30        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   17-22 (-17)  61-66        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     S  3         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-8)   49-54 (+4)   24-29        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   20-25 (-9)   75-80        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     S  5         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-272100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-6)   50-55 (+5)   23-28        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   19-24 (-8)   75-80        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     SE  6        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-3)   46-51 (+6)   21-26        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   22-27 (-16)  73-78        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      S  2         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   47-52 (+5)   25-30        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   24-29 (-13)  69-74        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW  6        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 PM EST THU DEC 26 2013 /158 PM CST THU DEC 26 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-5)   49-54 (+4)   26-31        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   24-29 (-12)  73-78        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     S  6         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













