

244 

FNUS54 KMRX 231939

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA...USHERING IN MUCH COLDER 

AND DRIER AIR BEHIND IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BY MID 

WEEK....RESULTING IN SUNNY AND SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS FOR 

CHRISTMAS DAY.   

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-19)  26-31 (-17)  12-17        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   35-40 (-39)  68-73        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-22)  25-30 (-18)  11-16        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   35-40 (-39)  75-80        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G23                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 14 G25    N  5 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-22)  25-30 (-17)  12-17        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  33-38 (-42)  80-85        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-23)  30-35 (-15)  15-20        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   29-34 (-41)  75-80        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N 10 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-22)  30-35 (-16)  14-19        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  30-35 (-40)  79-84        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N 11 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-21)  29-34 (-17)  13-18        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  33-38 (-40)  75-80        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      1800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-19)  29-34 (-14)  16-21        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  32-37 (-35)  68-73        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      1500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

239 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013 /139 PM CST MON DEC 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-19)  32-37 (-12)  16-21        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  28-33 (-37)  71-76        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N  8         NE  5        SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      1600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













