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263 

FNUS54 KMRX 230219 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY 

MONDAY...USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN 

BY MID WEEK.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240330-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  43-48 (-13)  21-26        26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  59-64 (-11)  81-86        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            10           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240330-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-11)  43-48 (-12)  20-25        24-29        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  55-60 (-10)  85-90        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            3                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                      7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.07         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240330-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  42-47 (-12)  20-25        25-30        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  52-57 (-19)  85-90        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240330-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   45-50 (-11)  22-27        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   49-54 (-26)  79-84        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  5         NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240330-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   46-51 (-10)  22-27        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   51-56 (-25)  86-91        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 24        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          6                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-10)  46-51 (-11)  22-27        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  54-59 (-16)  79-84        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 20        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  43-48 (-14)  22-27        28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   53-58 (-21)  77-82        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240330-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

919 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2013 /819 PM CST SUN DEC 22 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  44-49 (-14)  23-28        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   48-53 (-26)  78-83        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NW  9        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     N  6         NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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