

422 

FNUS54 KMRX 220952

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...BRINGING WITH IT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW RUMBLES OF 

THUNDER.  ADDITIONALLY...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER HIGHER 

TERRAIN THROUGH THE MORNING...AND SLOWLY DECREASE DURING THE 

AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO 

MONDAY AS THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.  HIGH 

PRESSURE AND A COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN MONDAY AND TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-6)   39-44 (-17)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   95-100 (+4)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G20                 W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.10         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     W 18         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   39-44 (-15)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   95-100 (+5)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G26                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G18     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.30         0.07         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     W 22         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   39-44 (-16)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   95-100 (+5)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 17 G34                 W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     SW  5        NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.12         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     W 17         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-231100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   42-47 (-14)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-11)  93-98 (-3)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G29                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   42-47 (-14)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-17)  95-100 (0)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G24                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.69         0.17         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 38                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-8)   40-45 (-16)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+10)  95-100 (+4)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G21                 W  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.12         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     W 17         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-4)   39-44 (-18)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   95-100 (+1)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

452 AM EST SUN DEC 22 2013 /352 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   39-44 (-18)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-19)  95-100 (-1)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 NW  9 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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