

921 

FNUS54 KMRX 211937

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM THE MISSISSIPPI 

VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO OUR 

AREA SUNDAY.  A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY 

NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  64-69 (-3)   41-46        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   67-72 (+7)   95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G24                 W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G24     SW  7 G17    S  5         NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.72         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+10)  63-68 (-2)   40-45        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   70-75 (+12)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G27                 W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G27     W  6 G16     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.99         0.15         0.07         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+10)  62-67 (-1)   40-45        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   73-78 (+8)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 17 G37                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G33    W  7 G15     SW  5        NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         1.10         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+10)  66-71 (+2)   42-47        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   75-80 (-1)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G29                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G27    SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.96         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  67-72 (+6)   42-47        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   79-84 (-5)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G22                 W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       4            5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         1.21         0.12         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+13)  67-72 (-3)   42-47        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  66-71 (+11)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G20                 W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.90         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+10)  66-71 (0)    40-45        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (-7)   94-99        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G23                 NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G24    SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.42         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   4            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

237 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013 /137 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   65-70 (+4)   40-45        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  65-70 (-14)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G20                 NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SW  5        SW  5        NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.32         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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