

645 

FNUS54 KMRX 211516 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS AN 

APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPREADS WARM MOIST AIR ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA 

ON SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   55-60 (+11)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+16)  89-94 (+2)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  SW 11 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     S 11 G24     SW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.13         0.90         

LAL                   1            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     SW 43        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   54-59 (+10)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+19)  94-99 (+3)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW 13 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     S 13 G27     W  6 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.12         1.29         

LAL                   1            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     SW 41        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-221615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   55-60 (+10)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+19)  95-100 (-1)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G30                  SW 17 G37    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G31    SW 15 G33    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.28         1.07         

LAL                   1            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 45                     SW 45        

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-221615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   58-63 (+12)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+27)  95-100 (-1)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G25                  SW 13 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G24     SW 12 G27    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.43         0.82         

LAL                   3            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      SW 38        

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-221615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   57-62 (+13)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+40)  95-100 (0)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G17                  SW 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    SW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.44         1.32         

LAL                   3            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      SW 36        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+8)   57-62 (+14)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+16)  86-91 (-9)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  7 G15     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.15         0.98         

LAL                   1            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 38        

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+9)   59-64 (+12)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   95-100 (+1)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  SW 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW 11 G24    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.51         0.38         

LAL                   3            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 41                     SW 36        

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1016 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013 /916 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   59-64 (+8)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+26)  95-100 (+3)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  SW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S 12 G24     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.76         0.25         

LAL                   3            5            5            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      SW 32        

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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