

441 

FNUS54 KMRX 201941

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEEKEND AS AN APPROACHING LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM SPREADS WARM MOIST AIR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON 

SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  63-68 (+6)   54-59        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+32) 54-59 (+18)  85-90        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  SW 14 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G21     S 13 G25     SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.16         0.58         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 40                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   60-65 (+5)   53-58        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+37) 58-63 (+25)  85-90        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  S 14 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     S 15 G28     SW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           60           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.12         0.72         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 40                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  57-62 (+2)   54-59        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+35)  66-71 (+30)  87-92        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G25                  SW 14 G34    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     S 14 G28     S 18 G35     SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.21         1.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 48                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+13)  62-67 (+3)   57-62        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 67-72 (+30)  86-91        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G18                  SW 11 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     S 16 G30     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.26         0.96         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 44                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+13)  62-67 (+2)   56-61        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 69-74 (+35)  87-92        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S 14 G26     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.23         1.23         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 39                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+12)  63-68 (+4)   56-61        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 57-62 (+26)  81-86        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     S 12 G23     W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.17         0.72         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 37                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  62-67 (+6)   58-63        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 63-68 (+21)  84-89        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  SW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S 14 G26     SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.39         0.53         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 43                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

241 PM EST FRI DEC 20 2013 /141 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  64-69 (+6)   58-63        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 65-70 (+20)  85-90        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G19     S 14 G26     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.62         0.45         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 41                      SW 17        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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