

525 

FNUS54 KMRX 201522 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN APPROACHING LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM SPREADS WARM MOIST AIR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON 

SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   45-50 (+13)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  85-90 (+20)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S  5         S 11 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     SW 33        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   43-48 (+10)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+18)  88-93 (+29)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  5         S 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 33        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-211630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   44-49 (+11)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+16)  88-93 (+29)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 S 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  8 G16     S 13 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 37        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-211630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   48-53 (+18)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+20)  87-92 (+10)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  8 G15     S 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     S 35         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-211630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   46-51 (+17)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+22)  91-96 (+10)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     S 32         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   45-50 (+16)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+16)  90-95 (+14)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   48-53 (+16)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+18)  84-89 (+11)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  5         S 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     S 36         

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1022 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2013 /922 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    51-56 (+19)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+22)  87-92 (+6)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  6         S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     S 36         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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