

370 

FNUS54 KMRX 200218 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN APPROACHING LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM SPREADS WARM MOIST AIR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. INCREASING CLOUDINESS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR 

FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN BY FRIDAY EVENING OR FRIDAY NIGHT. 

RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...AND 

WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210330-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+10)  58-63 (+4)   47-52        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+9)   33-38 (+8)   82-87        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G18                  S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G21    SW  8        S 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 33        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210330-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+10)  55-60 (+3)   46-51        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+10)  35-40 (+12)  75-80        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  7         S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 30        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210330-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+9)   54-59 (+1)   47-52        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+15)  42-47 (+19)  76-81        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 S 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     SW  8 G18    S  9 G18     S 13 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 38        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

25 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING

TO 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210330-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+7)   59-64 (+1)   51-56        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+21)  41-46 (+20)  74-79        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  8 G15     S 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     S 36         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO

20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210330-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+8)   61-66 (0)    49-54        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 39-44 (+20)  77-82        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 32         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+9)   58-63 (+3)   47-52        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+11)  38-43 (+15)  77-82        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  6         S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   57-62 (+3)   51-56        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+15)  43-48 (+19)  75-80        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    S  8 G15     S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 37        

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210330-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

918 PM EST THU DEC 19 2013 /818 PM CST THU DEC 19 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   59-64 (+2)   54-59        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+20)  47-52 (+24)  77-82        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     S  7         S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     S 37         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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