

831 

FNUS54 KMRX 181937

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY.  MOISTURE 

WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FRIDAY AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT 

WILL TRACK BY TO OUR WEST DURING THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+3)   55-60 (+16)  31-36        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   22-27 (-16)  82-87        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 32        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+3)   52-57 (+14)  33-38        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   24-29 (-8)   78-83        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO

10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   53-58 (+14)  34-39        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-9)   20-25 (-8)   74-79        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    S  7 G15     SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   57-62 (+12)  35-40        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   18-23 (-5)   82-87        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (0)    58-63 (+13)  33-38        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+5)   16-21 (-6)   82-87        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-1)   56-61 (+14)  31-36        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   24-29 (-7)   84-89        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   56-61 (+12)  35-40        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   23-28 (-6)   82-87        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

237 PM EST WED DEC 18 2013 /137 PM CST WED DEC 18 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   56-61 (+9)   37-42        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+9)   24-29 (-2)   88-93        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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