

418 

FNUS54 KMRX 172042

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  HUMIDITY 

VALUES WILL RECOVER VERY WELL OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT BRINGS 

COOLER AIR TO THE REGION.



AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF 

RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE 

EARLY THIS EVENING. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO THE EAST...A RIDGE 

OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION...PROVIDING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH 

THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR THIS 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-10)  37-42 (-12)  23-28        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   35-40 (-9)   75-80        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW 30        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-11)  36-41 (-13)  25-30        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   32-37 (-5)   66-71        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G26     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-14)  38-43 (-11)  25-30        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+3)   27-32 (-13)  66-71        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            1 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-12)  45-50 (-9)   23-28        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   22-27 (-13)  79-84        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-10)  46-51 (-8)   24-29        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   20-25 (-14)  76-81        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   10 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   40-45 (-11)  23-28        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   30-35 (-8)   77-82        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW 22        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-10)  43-48 (-10)  26-31        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   29-34 (-11)  73-78        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

342 PM EST TUE DEC 17 2013 /242 PM CST TUE DEC 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-8)   46-51 (-10)  26-31        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   25-30 (-12)  77-82        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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