

094 

FNUS54 KMRX 171637

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF 

RAIN SHOWERS AND SOME SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING

TO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. FOR WEDNESDAY 

AND THURSDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE 

AREA...PROVIDING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES. 

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR THIS WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   21-26 (-11)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-9)   87-92 (0)    34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW 12 G23    W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 18         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   21-26 (-13)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  72-77 (-8)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW 14 G25    W  8 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   21-26 (-15)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   71-76 (-6)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G28     NW 12 G27    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   23-28 (-13)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   68-73 (-19)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   23-28 (-11)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   65-70 (-30)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW 11 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   22-27 (-11)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   75-80 (-9)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     NW 10 G23    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 16         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   23-28 (-12)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   76-81 (-5)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 13         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1137 AM EST TUE DEC 17 2013 /1037 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   24-29 (-10)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   73-78 (+1)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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