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038 

FNUS54 KMRX 170134 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...

TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION. DRY CONDITIONS...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND ARE EXPECTED 

THROUGH THE END OF WORK WEEK. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR THIS 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46        28-33 (+5)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-15)  91-96 (+10)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  6        W 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 35         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46        26-31 (+4)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-18)  81-86 (0)    40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      W 14 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 39         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47        24-29 (+6)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-23)  81-86 (-1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G18                 SW 10 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G24    LGT/VAR      W 14 G30     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 36         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52        25-30 (+6)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-23)  86-91 (+5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 26         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53        24-29 (+5)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-27)  83-88 (+2)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 28         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50        26-31 (+4)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-18)  88-93 (+8)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 32         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51        28-33 (+7)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-19)  84-89 (+3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 30         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

834 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013 /734 PM CST MON DEC 16 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53        28-33 (+6)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-19)  88-93 (+6)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 26         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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