

148 

FNUS54 KMRX 162004

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...

TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION. DRY CONDITIONS...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND ARE EXPECTED 

THROUGH THE END OF WORK WEEK. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR THIS 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   42-47 (+1)   20-25        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  46-51 (-10)  77-82        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G19                 W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W 14 G26     W  9 G21     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   42-47 (+1)   19-24        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    40-45 (-9)   74-79        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G23                  W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     W 14 G28     W 12 G27     W  5 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   45-50 (+3)   19-24        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   33-38 (-12)  73-78        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G25                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G26    W 14 G30     W  9 G21     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+6)   50-55 (+3)   20-25        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+5)   30-35 (-11)  72-77        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    W 10 G20     NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+5)   52-57 (+4)   21-26        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   27-32 (-12)  67-72        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W 10 G19     NW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   46-51 (+1)   20-25        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+8)   41-46 (-7)   75-80        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G19                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    W 13 G23     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+7)   47-52 (+1)   22-27        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   42-47 (-6)   75-80        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    W 12 G24     W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EST MON DEC 16 2013 /204 PM CST MON DEC 16 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+6)   49-54 (+1)   23-28        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+6)   39-44 (-5)   77-82        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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