

183 

FNUS54 KMRX 160145

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH A WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGHOUT 

THE UPCOMING WEEK. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE 

NORMAL BY MID TO LATE WEEK...WITH RAIN RETURNING THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-7)   42-47 (+9)   28-33        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-13)  42-47 (-24)  86-91        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 32         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-6)   42-47 (+10)  27-32        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-13)  42-47 (-22)  82-87        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  W 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W  8 G18     W  6 G15     W 15 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 38         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-3)   42-47 (+10)  26-31        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  42-47 (-22)  81-86        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G23                 W  9 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     SW 11 G24    SW  7 G17    W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-4)   46-51 (+11)  26-31        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  39-44 (-23)  83-88        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   46-51 (+12)  25-30        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  37-42 (-27)  85-90        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   45-50 (+10)  28-33        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-12)  40-45 (-23)  86-91        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   46-51 (+10)  29-34        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  41-46 (-22)  83-88        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

845 PM EST SUN DEC 15 2013 /745 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-5)   48-53 (+11)  29-34        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  40-45 (-20)  83-88        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$













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