

234 

FNUS54 KMRX 150801

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING...AS A LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY 

DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH A WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGHOUT 

THE UPCOMING WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   22-27 (-9)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+9)   90-95 (-7)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G18     W  8 G17     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 20         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   21-26 (-10)  38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   83-88 (-14)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G21                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 10 G22     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     W 24         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   22-27 (-7)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   83-88 (-14)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  6 G15     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W 20         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   24-29 (-7)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-21)  78-83 (-19)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W 15         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   24-29 (-9)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-28)  76-81 (-21)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     W 18         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-8)   23-28 (-10)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   87-92 (-10)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     W  6 G15     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 16         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-8)   24-29 (-6)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   85-90 (-12)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     W 15         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013 /201 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-8)   25-30 (-4)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-18)  77-82 (-20)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W 15         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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