

976 

FNUS54 KMRX 142040

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT...AS A LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. AREAS 

OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SNOW WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER 

ELEVATIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON 

SUNDAY...WITH A WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   33-38 (-10)  20-25        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 58-63 (+7)   80-85        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W 10 G18     W 10 G18     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       0            0                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   33-38 (-8)   20-25        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 59-64 (+7)   80-85        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G24                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     W 13 G24     W 13 G25     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-152145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   32-37 (-8)   20-25        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 60-65 (0)    81-86        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W  9 G18     W  7 G17     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-152145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   34-39 (-9)   22-27        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 59-64 (-13)  80-85        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  8 G16    NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-152145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-7)   34-39 (-9)   22-27        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 58-63 (-18)  79-84        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     NW 10 G18    NW  6        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       0                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   36-41 (-8)   22-27        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 56-61 (+3)   78-83        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 10 G18     W  7 G15     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       0                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   36-41 (-8)   22-27        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 56-61 (-2)   79-84        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  8 G15     W  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       0                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

340 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013 /240 PM CST SAT DEC 14 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   37-42 (-8)   24-29        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  54-59 (-15)  77-82        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  8 G15    NW  5        SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       0                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













