

603 

FNUS54 KMRX 132027

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON 

SATURDAY...BRINGING MOSTLY RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THIS WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN BEGIN NEXT WEEK...WITH ABOVE 

NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+15)  42-47 (0)    30-35        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   62-67 (+30)  95-100       57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G19                 NW  9        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G21     SW  5        W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.34         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+14)  40-45 (0)    29-34        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+15)  64-69 (+31)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G26                 NW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S 10 G27     W  6 G16     NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.46         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 20 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+9)   41-46 (0)    29-34        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+21)  71-76 (+41)  95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G33                  NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G19     SW 11 G34    W  8 G17     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.58         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 

TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+12)  45-50 (0)    31-36        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+15)  71-76 (+41)  95-100       55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G26                 NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    S  7 G23     W  6         NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.61         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+13)  45-50 (0)    30-35        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  71-76 (+40)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G18                 NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  5 G17     W  5         NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.68         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          8                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+15)  43-48 (0)    31-36        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+17)  67-72 (+34)  95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G16                  W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5 G18     LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.44         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 21 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+14)  44-49 (0)    31-36        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+17)  70-75 (+35)  95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G16                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5 G16    W  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.43         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

330 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013 /230 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+15)  46-51 (0)    32-37        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 72-77 (+37)  95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G18                 NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G17    W  7 G15     NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.42         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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