

371 

FNUS54 KMRX 121949

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER COLD NIGHT TO THE AREA. CLOUDS WILL 

INCREASE ON FRIDAY...AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER 

THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN 

OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON SATURDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT 

SNOW POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ON SATURDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-3)   41-46 (+10)  30-35        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   28-33 (-5)   80-85        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 31        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-3)   40-45 (+11)  28-33        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-20)  28-33 (-5)   83-88        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 35        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-2)   40-45 (+10)  29-34        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-16)  30-35 (-2)   88-93        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G31     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         S  9 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.56         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 35        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-3)   43-48 (+9)   31-36        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-15)  31-36 (+1)   89-94        70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        S  8 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.56         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 32         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-4)   43-48 (+9)   31-36        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-16)  31-36 (+2)   89-94        72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         0.66         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 32         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-4)   43-48 (+11)  30-35        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-10)  29-34 (-3)   85-90        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      1900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 28        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-3)   44-49 (+10)  32-37        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-8)   28-33 (-3)   85-90        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.18         0.40         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      1600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 30        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EST THU DEC 12 2013 /150 PM CST THU DEC 12 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-1)   45-50 (+9)   32-37        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-9)   31-36 (+2)   89-94        69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.35         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      1700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S 29         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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